PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderfortunekingRN10xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (538–379, n=917)49% (7116–7479, n=14595)89% (382–46, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$91K$13.3M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #841was PM monthly #1000Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 1 open)51% (83 of 163 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
Weakest topic—Other Sports ±0 pts, n=92—Weather −3 pts, n=104
Settled positions, side won—57% of 924 at avg 53¢, ROI +4%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—23% (won 20% of 214)10% (won 52% of 2020)1% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 45% of 194)22% (won 93% of 4355)1% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 66% of 212)37% (won 99% of 7260)3% (won 64% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 86% of 304)31% (won 100% of 5998)95% (won 93% of 700)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.