PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Contestable-Parfait0x50f70010001000001100
Record (consensus markets)no settled market81% (31563–7342, n=38905)81% (1223–295, n=1518)
Consensus PnL—$562K$127K
Tracked asPM monthly #115PM monthly #332was PM monthly #799
Sides with the consensus70% (16 of 23 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +7 pts n=28117, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=1284, ROI +10%
  • F1 +20 pts n=26, ROI +13%
  • NFL +13 pts n=36, ROI +3%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13%89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 0% of 4)14% (won 18% of 3904)11% (won 45% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 100% of 787)11% (won 72% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢0%6% (won 100% of 1765)16% (won 89% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 100% of 8)77% (won 100% of 21661)63% (won 97% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.