← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | 0x50f7 | 0010001000001100 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 83% (37751–7791, n=45542) | 81% (1284–298, n=1582) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $562K | $127K | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | PM monthly #319 | was PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −2 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 14% (won 18% of 3904) | 11% (won 45% of 155) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 787) | 11% (won 72% of 159) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 1765) | 16% (won 89% of 232) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 77% (won 100% of 21661) | 63% (won 97% of 911) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.