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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | melganis | 88M | NiNo999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 49% (659–677, n=1336) | 88% (488–65, n=553) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $56K | $528K | $9.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #629 | was PM monthly #985 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | Mentions −14 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 27% (won 18% of 337) | 7% (won 81% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 36% (won 58% of 455) | 39% (won 85% of 197) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 30% (won 75% of 371) | 49% (won 94% of 244) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 7% (won 87% of 94) | 5% (won 96% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | melganis | 88M | NiNo999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $184 | — | — |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $834 | Yes $26 | — | — |