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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | Clicker1 | YABLAKO | rated | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (10–11, n=21) | 79% (22–6, n=28) | 46% (227–267, n=494) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $133K | $14K | -$1.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #115 | was PM monthly #930 | was PM monthly #931 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 39% (12 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | MLB −2 pts, n=17 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 91% of 11 at avg 71¢, ROI +21% | 82% of 28 at avg 46¢, ROI +45% | 98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 9% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 50% of 2) | 5% (won 75% of 268) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 18% (won 100% of 2) | 57% (won 88% of 16) | 1% (won 65% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 88% of 8) | 2% (won 90% of 100) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 7% (won 50% of 2) | 92% (won 100% of 4646) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | Clicker1 | YABLAKO | rated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $108 | — | — | No $4 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $146 | — | — | Yes $19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $127 | — | — | No $5 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $51 | — | — | No $1 |