PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CoffeeDespiserbeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (91–92, n=183)69% (43–19, n=62)56% (100–79, n=179)45% (501–601, n=1102)
Consensus PnL-$41K$5.8M$3.5M$9.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #473was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +45 pts n=19, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=45, ROI +38%
  • Esports +35 pts n=26, ROI +48%
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −4 pts, n=96——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%96% of 100 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 86% of 7)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 57% of 63)24% (won 96% of 24)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 53% of 118)44% (won 98% of 44)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—13% (won 86% of 29)25% (won 96% of 25)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.