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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankrobustmstsuntori
Record (consensus markets)56% (20–16, n=36)42% (13–18, n=31)no settled market
Consensus PnL$822K$208K—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #28was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus44% (7 of 16 open)no open consensus position38% (19 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%—
Entries under 30¢0%0%—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)85% (won 100% of 11)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)15% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankrobustmstsuntori
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $35K—Celtics $6.1K
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $166K—Spurs $5.5K
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $10K—Grizzlies $7