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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 80% (233–60, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | -$55K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 98% (42 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 305 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 36% (won 3% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 6% (won 24% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 9% (won 73% of 26) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 50% (won 93% of 153) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — |