← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lastminwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $204K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #91 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 54% (30 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 69% of 13 at avg 44¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 23% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 23% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lastminwin |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $70K | No $16K |