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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjuice-fruitkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSuperMegaMan
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)43% (121–161, n=282)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$779K$152K$180K-$7.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #28PM monthly #32PM monthly #134
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position61% (22 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • Esports +17 pts n=630, ROI +16%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=90, ROI +17%
  • NBA +17 pts n=28, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%67% of 754 at avg 50¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)2% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)11% (won 36% of 85)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)25% (won 100% of 12)42% (won 100% of 63)36% (won 61% of 270)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)44% (won 100% of 21)40% (won 100% of 61)45% (won 77% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)29% (won 100% of 14)12% (won 100% of 18)8% (won 84% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.