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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaprabam
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15513–15596, n=31109)71% (29–12, n=41)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #60was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)no open consensus position51% (81 of 158 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%83% of 35 at avg 77¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)17% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)74% (won 88% of 26)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaprabam
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $164—
M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Vignesh Gogineni vs William Mirarchi
opposite sides · consensus Vignesh Gogineni
——William Mirarchi $616Vignesh Gogineni $59
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23K—Yes $122—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $206—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K—Yes $63—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—