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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Newshound | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (688–278, n=966) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $65K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #889 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (9 of 21 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 72% of 968 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 23% (won 23% of 218) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 64% of 122) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 17% (won 76% of 169) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 47% (won 95% of 459) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Newshound | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $311 | — | No $499 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $301 | — |