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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankglennyorkshire
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)46% (166–196, n=362)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$869
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #912
Sides with the consensus71% (80 of 113 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NFL +14 pts n=46, ROI +4%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
  • NBA +5 pts n=16, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Soccer −4 pts, n=195
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 345 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)7% (won 13% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)28% (won 45% of 95)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)48% (won 57% of 165)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 73% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.