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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1pizzabillgates
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3667–6667, n=10334)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.1M$4.8M-$72K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #121PM monthly #98PM monthly #720
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)61% (17 of 28 open)73% (54 of 74 open)94% (32 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 15% of 186)50% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)—19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)—23% (won 58% of 326)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—44% (won 94% of 619)38% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1pizzabillgates
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.9KYes $7.7K