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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | lastminwin | pbshine | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 86% (12–2, n=14) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $245K | $285K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #102 | was PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (31 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (43 of 58 open) | 31% (8 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | lastminwin | pbshine |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41K | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $284 | Yes $127 |