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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Imbleciar | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | 97% (214–6, n=220) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $245K | — | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #60 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (30 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 116 at avg 55¢, ROI +44% | 79% of 28 at avg 68¢, ROI +9% | 83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 33% of 3) | 5% (won 62% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 31% (won 100% of 36) | 14% (won 25% of 4) | 35% (won 75% of 397) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 57% (won 100% of 66) | 29% (won 88% of 8) | 43% (won 88% of 492) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 10% (won 100% of 12) | 46% (won 100% of 13) | 17% (won 95% of 191) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.