Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardPeteLama
Record (consensus markets)56% (20–16, n=36)56% (5–4, n=9)54% (203–170, n=373)no settled market
Consensus PnL$822K$421K$228K—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #50PM monthly #8PM monthly #460
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)no open consensus position71% (105 of 148 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazardPeteLama
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $16K—Celtics $34K—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $10K—Pacers $9.3K—