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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | easypredict | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | -$177 | $290K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #986 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 59% (79 of 133 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | easypredict | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $5.4K | — | Nuggets $24K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $22K | — | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | — | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $468 | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |