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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdubdubdub2
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.0M$165K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #471
Sides with the consensus67% (76 of 114 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 3 at avg 91¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)0%
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdubdubdub2
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $36KYes $143K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $46K