← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | denizz | lava-lava | Villson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $2.3M | $1.1M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #937 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (40 of 49 open) | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | denizz | lava-lava | Villson |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41K | — | Yes $9.8K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | — | Yes $351 | — |