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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Kosherlocks | lava-lava | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | no settled market | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 57% (293–219, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | — | $1.1M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #158 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (40 of 49 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 72% (65 of 90 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Kosherlocks | lava-lava | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $1 | — | Yes $12K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41K | — | Yes $9.8K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | — | No $350K |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | — | Yes $351 | — |