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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGdub
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)72% (621–238, n=859)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)85% (17 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Politics ±0 pts, n=150
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%75% of 832 at avg 72¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)15% (won 11% of 123)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)7% (won 41% of 61)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)9% (won 68% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)69% (won 93% of 575)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGdub
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $34KYes $7.4K