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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Gdub | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 75% (545–179, n=724) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $15K | $4.2M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #21 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (18 of 32 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 80% (28 of 35 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=151 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 78% of 773 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 15% of 95) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 43% of 56) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 68% of 68) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 72% (won 93% of 554) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Gdub | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $17K | Yes $232 | — | — |