← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 41% (1492–2115, n=3607) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $69K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #961 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #94 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 77% (24 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (52 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 3211 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 35% (won 9% of 1108) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 28% (won 92% of 889) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |