← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | noreasapa | gonnachangelater | BoomLaLa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 93% (3625–260, n=3885) | 64% (157–87, n=244) | 66% (5377–2808, n=8185) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $139K | $42K | $644K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #750 | was PM monthly #977 | was PM monthly #944 | PM monthly #711 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=55 | Science −3 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 166 at avg 80¢, ROI +1% | 93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 6% (won 13% of 225) | 0% | 7% (won 34% of 290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 25% of 8) | 1% (won 51% of 55) | 8% (won 80% of 5) | 35% (won 78% of 1465) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 54% of 24) | 1% (won 72% of 39) | 41% (won 100% of 24) | 27% (won 92% of 1130) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 91% of 129) | 92% (won 100% of 3485) | 51% (won 100% of 30) | 31% (won 98% of 1282) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.