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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (233–173, n=406) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2K | $11.2M | $5.6M | — |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 68% (39 of 57 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 388 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 237) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $327K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $107 | No $19K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | No $795 | — | — |