PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamesainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)73% (4110–1508, n=5618)71% (10–4, n=14)56% (101–79, n=180)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$459K$4.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus65% (127 of 194 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 5152 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 76% of 270)0%7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 1934)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1765)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1183)0%24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamesainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $761——Yes $4.1K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K——Yes $70