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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (579–720, n=1299) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (85 of 108 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $738 | Yes $3.7K | — | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | Yes $72 | — | — |