PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357ppku62980xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (534–392, n=926)47% (39–44, n=83)95% (246–12, n=258)
Consensus PnL—$597K$52K$128K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256PM monthly #76was PM monthly #958PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)30% (3 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
Weakest topic—NBA −1 pts, n=279——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 25% of 114)2% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 54% of 418)60% (won 76% of 34)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 63% of 312)37% (won 86% of 21)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up—12% (won 89% of 113)2% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.