Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AllYouCanEatbeachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)79% (117–31, n=148)no settled market52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL-$4.9K—$3.5M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #839—PM monthly #21PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position76% (180 of 237 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEntertainment −3 pts, n=14—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won77% of 138 at avg 77¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 9% of 33)—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 2)—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 98% of 103)—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.