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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlanCurtisndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (202–179, n=381)66% (872–458, n=1330)
Consensus PnL$14K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #770PM monthly #25
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (93 of 129 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won70% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 31% of 143)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 81% of 79)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 98% of 61)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 96)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.