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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ackbarbeachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)50% (19–19, n=38)no settled market65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL-$21K—$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #746—PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)no open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +5 pts n=32, ROI +2%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 44% of 9)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢74% (won 60% of 25)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.