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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (19–19, n=38) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $9.4M | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #746 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 44% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 74% (won 60% of 25) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $5.0K | Jazz $31K | — | — |