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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Abkhauae | lineth | machinelearned | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (215–220, n=435) | 65% (2219–1202, n=3421) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $91K | $35K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #835 | PM monthly #548 | PM monthly #274 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 44% (11 of 25 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 52¢, ROI +52% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 3% (won 64% of 42) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 6% (won 93% of 75) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 28% (won 100% of 360) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 63% (won 100% of 818) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Abkhauae | lineth | machinelearned | Bonereaper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | — | Down $476 | Up $11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET same side · consensus Up | — | — | Up $415 | Up $47 |