PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Abkhauaeic4cream88M0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (2442–1553, n=3995)49% (659–677, n=1336)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL$0$574K$528K$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #46was PM monthly #629was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 52¢, ROI +52%100% of 2100 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢0%2% (won 100% of 34)27% (won 18% of 337)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 100% of 495)36% (won 58% of 455)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)48% (won 100% of 1016)30% (won 75% of 371)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up0%26% (won 100% of 555)7% (won 87% of 94)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.