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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ATCapital | nigiri99 | SineNooneEI | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (242–209, n=451) | 50% (7–7, n=14) | 40% (4–6, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $234K | $213K | $365K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #983 | was PM monthly #167 | PM monthly #70 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 55% (71 of 130 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −17 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 58% of 420 at avg 51¢, ROI −5% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 16% (won 27% of 67) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 25% (won 46% of 104) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 45% (won 63% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 15% (won 97% of 62) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ATCapital | nigiri99 | SineNooneEI | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | Ugo Humbert $42 | Ugo Humbert $2.7K | — |