PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ARTEM-DZYUBACORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)94% (4675–294, n=4969)62% (385–233, n=618)45% (514–627, n=1141)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$18K$4.5M$10.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #988PM monthly #83PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position70% (28 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1208 at avg 90¢, ROI +4%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 57% of 7)9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 80% of 41)56% (won 99% of 214)35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 90% of 123)34% (won 100% of 129)34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 1037)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.