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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | fantasy7788 | MD14 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 58% (21–15, n=36) | 84% (26–5, n=31) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $886K | $341K | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #126 | PM monthly #58 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 10% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 66% (won 95% of 19) | 67% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | fantasy7788 | MD14 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Spirit | — | FURIA $21K | Spirit $29K | — |