PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (46–28, n=74)67% (28–14, n=42)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$22K$149K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #497was PM monthly #904PM monthly #460was PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensus37% (13 of 35 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=211, ROI +3%
  • F1 +20 pts n=18, ROI −18%
  • MLB +15 pts n=22, ROI −25%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=20, ROI +39%
  • Esports +16 pts n=26, ROI +26%
  • NHL +4 pts n=12, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 291 at avg 61¢, ROI −15%76% of 63 at avg 61¢, ROI +22%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 47% of 15)5% (won 100% of 3)36% (won 23% of 13)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 52% of 84)29% (won 44% of 18)8% (won 67% of 3)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 75% of 107)30% (won 84% of 19)33% (won 67% of 12)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 99% of 85)37% (won 91% of 23)22% (won 100% of 8)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.