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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
999585e46m3fantasy7788pbshine
Record (consensus markets)89% (49–6, n=55)17% (155–752, n=907)100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market
Consensus PnL$273K$536K$245K—
Tracked asPM monthly #103PM monthly #2PM monthly #60was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)74% (314 of 427 open)no open consensus position31% (8 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%——
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)——
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)——
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)——
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market999585e46m3fantasy7788pbshine
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—No $1.6K
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7—Yes $127