PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)92% (782–64, n=846)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$60K$93K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #152Hand-pickedPM monthly #852PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)25% (3 of 12 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%99% of 704 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)4% (won 96% of 26)0%
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)30% (won 99% of 208)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)66% (won 99% of 468)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)0% (won 100% of 2)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.