PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (179–23, n=202)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$474K$60K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #152was PM monthly #974Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 100% of 20)24% (won 19% of 254)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 93)23% (won 40% of 241)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 110)29% (won 70% of 304)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 9)24% (won 89% of 250)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.