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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
8373BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)83% (5–1, n=6)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$41K$7.9M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #596PM monthly #3PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (19 of 29 open)72% (95 of 132 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 67¢, ROI +48%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8373BreakTheBankndb1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7Yes $993K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K