← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | Sisyphus- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 96% (454–18, n=472) |
| Consensus PnL | -$104 | $8.4M | $1.1M | $648K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #970 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #315 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 79% (37 of 47 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | Sisyphus- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | Yes $9.9K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — |