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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
768543265fantasy7788HomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (361–305, n=666)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$32K$576K$444K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #809PM monthly #34PM monthly #6PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (130 of 167 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 24¢, ROI +26%100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)45% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 100% of 62)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.