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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
35066FE58fesurfandturfpleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)43% (494–657, n=1151)52% (273–252, n=525)49% (345–353, n=698)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$38K$4.1M$3.2M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #92was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −27 pts, n=14NFL −11 pts, n=58MLB −1 pts, n=694Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won41% of 923 at avg 41¢, ROI 0%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 3% of 483)20% (won 12% of 109)0% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 35% of 48)21% (won 46% of 114)38% (won 43% of 266)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 57% of 54)33% (won 60% of 176)61% (won 54% of 426)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 94% of 338)26% (won 82% of 137)0%7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market35066FE58fesurfandturfpleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.7K—Yes $6.4K