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AE
Consensus PnL $38K · win rate 42% (480–652, n=1132) · was PM monthly #996 · holds 10 consensus positions
0xaee811b7...cb181154Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$37.9K
Record
480W / 652L
Win Rate
42.0%
of 1132 settled
Batting Avg
54.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2320
Source
PM monthly #996
Record (90 d)
156/379 · 41%
Trades
3,378
Markets
1,655
Volume
$1.9M
Top consensus positions
10 in listed consensus markets · 8 of 10 on the consensus side (80%)- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes $346 · now 42¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes $318 · now 70¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?No $153 · now 75¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
- Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?No $60 · now 95¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?No $54 · now 93¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?No $45 · now 95¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes $34 · now 15¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?No $23 · now 95¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (80% of 5)