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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2HAE | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (831–291, n=1122) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.0K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 83% (157 of 189 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 712 at avg 73¢, ROI +11% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 44% of 16) | 10% (won 79% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 53% of 49) | 36% (won 98% of 200) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 84% of 161) | 35% (won 99% of 194) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 94% of 486) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2HAE | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | No $224K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | Yes $291K |