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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cry.eth2 | shibagege | olegio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 23% (1426–4784, n=6210) | 49% (157–166, n=323) | 49% (348–364, n=712) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $99K | $15K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #886 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −3 pts, n=127 |
| Settled positions, side won | 25% of 18171 at avg 10¢, ROI +6% | 88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 92% (won 18% of 16643) | 10% (won 56% of 25) | 19% (won 22% of 129) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 95% of 355) | 5% (won 75% of 12) | 50% (won 44% of 345) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 100% of 1172) | 16% (won 86% of 43) | 25% (won 69% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 69% (won 93% of 181) | 6% (won 88% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.