PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cry.eth20xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941whilwhile
Record (consensus markets)23% (1426–4784, n=6210)89% (48–6, n=54)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL$174K-$54K$18K
Tracked asHand-pickedHand-pickedPM monthly #729
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (14 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won25% of 18171 at avg 10¢, ROI +6%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%99% of 67 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢92% (won 18% of 16643)6% (won 8% of 12)4% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 95% of 355)3% (won 40% of 5)16% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 1172)9% (won 56% of 18)24% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 100% of 1)82% (won 95% of 155)55% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.